CW says no, but Kaus says "Not so fast!"

Constituent Dynamics ran a poll which says that Mahoney was up over the "Foley" name by 7 points, 50-43. Not good for the GOP but about what you'd expect given the scandal.

But then again they ran the poll again after telling the voters that another Republican would be replacing Foley, that vote was 46-49 still in Mahoney's favor.

I think it stands to reason that Negron has a chance here. Republican voters are not idiots, and they should be well aware that Negron is not Foley.

Rush has gone on record today saying that the GOP keeps this seat.