The GOP has made some serious gains in the last week. This from Pew:
A nationwide Pew Research Center survey finds voting intentions shifting in the direction of Republican congressional candidates in the final days of the 2006 midterm campaign. The new survey finds a growing percentage of likely voters saying they will vote for GOP candidates. However, the Democrats still hold a 48% to 40% lead among registered voters, and a modest lead of 47%-43% among likely voters.
The good news is breaking out everywhere as the latest USA Today/Gallup poll shows the same thing. As I've been saying from the beginning, the House is not as much a lock as some would believe. Every election, the Democrats have been shown to have a huge lead and that lead has always dwindled come election day. This time seems no different.
We find this gem buried in a NY Times piece:
Representative Rahm Emanuel of Illinois, the Democrat leading his party's effort to win control of the House, said, "It's inevitable that there would be some tightening in the end."
Still, Mr. Emanuel, who has been careful this campaign to avoid the public expressions of optimism voiced by other Democrats, added, "This is making me nervous."
As well it should, Rahm, as well it should. How would the Democrats explain away a collapse of this magnitude? In other polling, ABC has the lead at 6% but spins it as an advantage for the donks. Other thoughts here and Dick Morris may want to rethink this op-ed.
Reader Comments ( Page 1 of 1)
1. I predict that the top democratic candidates do not want to run in this election. They would not want to be assosiated with congress two years from now when more finger pointing will be going on regarding the war. They will wait till the next elections. Therefore I feel Republicans will most likely remain the majority for now.
Shelley Crawford at 9:36AM on Nov 6th 2006
2. I predict that the top democratic candidates do not want to run in this election. They would not want to be assosiated with congress two years from now when more finger pointing will be going on regarding the war. They will wait till the next elections. Therefore I feel Republicans will most likely remain the majority for now.
Shelley Crawford at 9:36AM on Nov 6th 2006
3. I hope republicans are voted out on every level,and who would want to come in and clean up their mess.It will be a hard job ,but at least it will get done by the democrats. And all that survey hype the presidents count is up in the polls is just that all hype.they are running scared their gravy train is about to end and this country become the people's country again.
Diane Molinari at 10:02AM on Nov 6th 2006
4.
It's time for a change. The domocrats should win this election since the Repubs have only corruption, failure and sex scandals on their ledger.
Vote, your country depends on it.
John Mullins at 10:57AM on Nov 6th 2006
5. scott is ALMOST as big an IDIOT as the nixboy, but NOT quite; scott, you complete MORON!!! on election day, the gop is DOA ALL ACROSS THIS GREAT LAND!!!!!!scott, STEW ON THAT!!!!
jon julian at 12:48PM on Nov 6th 2006
6. I'm not as BIG an IDIOT as NIXBOY. I GUESS I haven't been working hard ENOUGH. I'll work on THAT.
scott at 12:49PM on Nov 6th 2006
7. We keep hearing and reading about the news media citing polls which imply voters think Democrats can do a better job in Iraq and the overall war on terrorism...however, there's just plain and simply no basis in example for coming to such a false conclusion. Voters need to be reminded that the Democrats have absolutely no record in doing better in Iraq than Republicans, nor any other reasonable facsimile thereof. There record on national defense is clear and, has been so, for decades. They've presented no viable plan which implies they're capable of doing a better job in Iraq, than Republicans. Clearly, those who would go to the polls Tuesday under the false notion that Democrats can do better than Republicans in Iraq do so merely on a hope and a guess -- based simply on the reasoning that Democrats say they can -- with absolutely no basis in example, or precedence, if you will.
Further, I think those who choose to vote Democrat based on some fallacy that Democrats can do a better job in Iraq than Republicans may be in for quite a rude awakening and, if they think the situation in Iraq is bad now, they'll have seen nothing yet should Democrats be permitted to regain some sort of power in Congress again. Then, we'll truly get that "another Vietnam" that some, especially those on the left, have been so desperately hoping for. I am just simply aghast and beside myself at how someone could walk into their polling booth on Tuesday and choose a Democrat based on a preposterous notion that Democrats can do better in Iraq than Republicans can with absolutely no basis in example to add any weight to their delusional reasoning.
When we walk into our voting booths and harken to the spiel that Democrats can somehow do better in Iraq and, we think of casting our votes for a Democrat because of such a fallacious notion, just ask yourself: "On what premise am I basing my false notion on...and, what example exists in which the Democrats have done better in Iraq, or any other reasonable facsimile thereof?"
C. Thompson at 5:54AM on Nov 7th 2006