Iraq: House of Cards

Some required reading in today's Washington Post for those who wonder what's going on with the political situation inside Iraq. Unfortunately, things aren't getting any better. The Shiite and Kurdish communities are turning against al-Maliki, and the Sunni's have long abandoned him. Why? It's that familiar refrain:
Maliki's government has failed so far to push through major laws demanded by the U.S. government as a means of promoting national reconciliation. These so-called benchmarks include laws governing oil resources and the reintegration of former members of Saddam Hussein's Baath Party into the government, and constitution al amendments to afford more influence to Sunnis.
With each new day it becomes further apparent that the current Iraqi administration simply cannot govern the country. The Sunnis, who overwhelmingly boycotted the first round of elections, are not playing along. The Shiia are increasingly divided along factional lines. The Kurdish areas have witnessed a huge up-tick in violence, and rising tensions with Turkey.
Through it all, General Patraeus sees a heavy long-term U.S. presence. Forget about September, he tells us. That was never about anything more than filing a report. Mind you, we know that the Iraq war has been a boon for terrorist recruiting. That we have turned that country into an exporter of terrorism.

Perhaps it's time to re-define our mission in Iraq. Maybe we should, as Patraeus and the President so often do, simply focus on al-Qaida. Cordon off Diyala and Anbar provinces. Pull out of Baghdad and concentrate on Bin Laden's group rather than the ongoing civil war. Too simplistic? How do you tell al-Qaeda from the Sunni insurgents? Is there even really one umbrella al-Qaeda group anymore? Good questions. All that really seems clear is that we haven't seen significant progress in Iraq, especially on the political front. This was starkly illustrated by Patraeus's answer to the question: Would you like the surge to continue indefinitely?
"It depends on what the sense is for the prospects of achieving Iraq's constitution. I hope that we can put time back on the Washington clock. Al-Qaeda is keenly aware of the Washington clock. they are obviously going to have a surge of their own. You saw an example of this yesterday. They wanted to make sure that the headlines about the launch of the offensive don't create too much hope."
The prospects for achieving Iraq's constitution? Clearly, the general is reading different publications than I am.

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