Does Kerry's Challenger Have a Chance?

Few people are probably aware of the fact that John Kerry has a primary challenger for his U.S. Senate seat. Ed O'Reilly, a lawyer hailing from Gloucester, Mass., launched his bid to oust Kerry in May. His campaign largely targets Kerry's vote in favor of the war in Iraq.

Local media has essentially predicted that O'Reilly has a snowball's chance in hell of defeat Kerry, but recent polls from a couple months ago did suggest that Kerry is in fact vulnerable.

A 7News-Suffolk poll from this past April said that 56 percent of Massachusetts registered voters want to give someone else a shot at Kerry's Senate seat. Only 37 percent say he should run again.

Could Kerry be ousted in the primaries? It could happen.

Since the primary is next year -- during a presidential campaign season -- the resulting big turnout of primary voters (the anti-war base of the Democratic Party) at the very least will force Kerry to work harder at proving his worthiness for another term. With Democrat primary voters rejecting Joe Lieberman last year, there is absolutely no reason to believe that Kerry is equally vulnerable.

In fact, John Kerry is more vulnerable. Lieberman was able to count on the support of Republican voters in the general election to ensure his victory as an independent candidate. Kerry would not have the same luxury.

I am very tempted to consider John Kerry vulnerable. If O'Reilly has the enthusiastic support of the liberal netroots, John Kerry may end up in the biggest fight of his political career.

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