Immigration Bill and the Freshman Senators

To pass the cloture vote, it's not just about getting the requisite number of Republicans. There is a significant set of Democratic senators who will need to be persuaded.

Three centrists whose razor-thin election victories in November tipped control of the Senate to the Democrats now hold potentially decisive swing votes on the immigration measure the chamber will try to revive later this week.

All three Democratic freshman senators - Jim Webb (Va.), Jon Tester (Mont.) and Claire McCaskill (Mo.) - voted against efforts by Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) to shut down debate over the measure earlier this month. The freshmen each have controversial amendments in the package that will be considered once the Senate moves to resume debate later this week. And no member is decided on how he or she will vote on the underlying bill.
I was particularly surprised by the stance of Claire McCaskill, who was recently elected back in November as well, on most issues she seemed to be a standard liberal Democrat. But on immigration, she's pretty tough.
In McCaskill's home state, activists for NumbersUSA total nearly 8,000, with 1,670 new members since last month. McCaskill is pushing an amendment that would ban repeat violators of immigration rules from receiving federal contracts for five years. Her spokeswoman said the senator is concerned about the guest-worker provisions in the bill as well as the employer sanction provisions that she is seeking to strengthen.
Last night the Corner at NRO Online reported that McCaskill told Lou Dobbs that she would not vote for cloture, which would kill the bill for now. These Democrats have apparently looked at the popularity of this bill with the American people and decided they don't want any part of it.

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