Another Bad Week For Senator McCain

Senator John McCain has been in a serious free fall for several weeks now. It started with his backing of the immigration bill and today continued with the Supreme Court taking their collective whacks at the McCain-Feingold campaign finance reform bill.

Things are so bad that the former front runner is now looking at a total collapse of his campaign:

THE former presidential front-runner, John McCain, may drop out of the 2008 race by September if his fundraising dries up and his poll ratings continue to drop, according to Republican insiders.

The speculation, vigorously denied by McCain's camp, is sweeping Republican circles after a disastrous few weeks in which the principled Arizona senator has clashed with the party's conservative base on immigration and also alienated independent voters by backing President George W Bush's troop surge in Iraq.

It would have been hard to imagine McCain losing this much (only 8%?) support in so short a time. Only three or four months ago, he and Giuliani were battling it out and McCain had a good shot at the nomination. A double whammy of conservative backlash over illegal immigration and the meteoric rise of Fred Thompson has all but destroyed any chance the Senator from Arizona had.

The sad thing is that McCain is a good guy, he just failed miserably when it came to reading the ire of the conservative base on the immigration issue.

Update (2148): McCain says those who think he's dropping out are "smoking something":


Granted, McCain is not a conservative and didn't have overwhelming support from the base, but he was making inroads and had a great shot to knock another non-conservative off in Giuliani.

The amazing thing to me is that McCain failed to see the political downside of the immigration issue. He is from Arizona and thus needs the Hispanic vote to win, but why did he not remain somewhat neutral until he saw the way the wave was breaking? He did not have to join the man the right loves to hate--Senator Kennedy--in pushing for this bill. He could have allowed the President to do battle and than came out against it. He would have resumed the title "maverick" that the adoring media bestowed upon him and he would have blunted alot of criticism and kept alot of supporters. Alas for him, he didn't.

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