To 21 percentage points, to be exact, and it seems as though she's gaining. Also, in a head-to-head with Rudy Giuliani, or with Barack Obama, she wins:
Mrs. Clinton would beat Mr. Giuliani by six points, 47% to 41%; Mr. Obama would win by five, 45% to 40%. The results are nearly identical to those in the June poll. The latest poll, of 1,005 adults Friday to Monday, has a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points.
In a three-way contest among Mrs. Clinton, Mr. Giuliani and New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg running as an independent, the poll shows Mrs. Clinton winning with 42% of the vote to Mr. Giuliani's 34% and Mr. Bloomberg's 11%. That suggests Mr. Bloomberg -- who hasn't declared his candidacy -- would steal more support from the Republican than from the Democrat.
Again, this is polling done 15-months before the election and the applicable grains of salt should be taken, but the fact that Hillary Clinton is polling so well at this time shows that she has very good advisors and political acumen.
It should be interesting to see what happens should she win the nomination as she has not been anti-war enough for the hard-left (who has?) and they are a large portion of the support she'll need in the general. Will they hold their noses and vote Hillary anyway?
On the GOP side, Fred Thompson is only hurting himself by waiting to announce, the luster has gone off and he may have blown any significant bounce he would have received. It will come down to Thompson and Giuliani and Rudy has run a good campaign to this point (so good in fact that the liberal bastion Vanity Fair has written a hit piece against his wife).
The campaigns, for all the candidates, are constantly changing and the fall/winter months will be the time where they are successful or fall by the wayside. Expect only Clinton, Obama, perhaps Edwards and Richardson to survive through Christmas with Giuliani, Thompson and perhaps Romney on the GOP side. Third-tier candidates like Gravel and Paul may hold on but will be of no consequence except to take up time in debates.
Reader Comments ( Page 1 of 3)
1. Polls doesn't reveals who are eligible to vote and who don't.I think the Government ought to take a serious look at VOTERS REGISTRATION URGENTLY to make sure no NON CITIZENS or ILLEGALS IMMIGRANTS are included in these POLLS to forfeit the election process.Hilliary couldn't control Bill so how in the world can she control the United States of America,yea the key word here is CONTROL,CONTROL,CONTROL,CONTROL.she couldn't do it to her own family.I'm suspicious with all the investigation going on in Congress if is it a camouflage to undermine the election process.
Realistic at 10:44AM on Aug 1st 2007
2. Hillary, is she supporting the hispamic vote and for waht reason??? Will she make all illegals citizens to get it???????? She is towards a socilism country, if she had to answer to the person on the street, there would be a whole different showing in polls, she coudn't answer one person without lying let alone a group because the truth isn't in her makeup. Her backgroung isn't al roses as most aren't but she has some very questionable. Some women are for her strictly because she would be the first woman president, be careful what you wish and vote for, the rsults of her would be the terroists would love to have her as president,she would be a danger to this country, she is all self serving only.
Jane at 11:17AM on Aug 1st 2007
3. wHY DON,T YOU PEOPLE GET OUT OF THE WAR, AND TURN IT OVER TO THE MLITARY. WE,RE GOING TO BE IN THIS FOR 50 YRS IF SOMETHING IS DONE NOW,ANOTHER THING LET RETIRES LIKE ME COME BACK AND SERVVE,LET THE YOUNGER GUYS GO FIGHT WHAT YOU ARE CALLINF A WAR.
mikeARNOLD at 11:30AM on Aug 1st 2007
4. I just want to say, GO HILLARY GO !!!!!!! You are the American Hope to rid of us of this horrid Administration that is and was a ruthless, corrupt dictatorship. When and if you win, it will be likw having a 500 TON weight lifted off the backs of all Americans, even the one's that can't see the light yet. The die hards that hang onto the Republican Coatails just because they are ignorant and their famalies have been Republicans forever. Time for a big beautiful change for this divided and depressed America. GOD BLESS YOU HILLARY CLINTON !!!!!!!!!
Ray at 12:02PM on Aug 1st 2007
5. There's enough time before the Iowa Straw polls for another candidate to really step up. Obama may succeed in comparing her to the Bush administration.
Guy in a Suit at 12:18PM on Aug 2nd 2007
6. GO HILLARY GO. GOD BLESS YOU HILLARY CLINTON !!!! We are ready to rid ourselves of this Dictatorship we are currently bound under, For you die hard republicans, your ignorant desire to hang on to the coatails of your Republican beliefs is only because you and yours have always been Republicans and that is not a valid reason for your ignorance and inability to see that Bush and Chenney are followers of SATAN and they must be abolished forever if America stands a chance at having clean air, clean Government, and lees lies and deciept. GOD BLESS YOU HILLARY CLINTON !!!!!!!!!!!!!
galecycleman at 12:01PM on Aug 1st 2007
7. Must be all democrat voting I can't believe that many Americans are that dumb to vote for Hilary Or Obama There must be a dark horse somewhere!!!!!
William Witt at 12:46PM on Aug 1st 2007
8. The NY Daily News reports todsy that a Gallup Poll found that 41% of all Democrats trust Rudy Giuliani to deal with the Iraq situation.
One more proof that, if nominated, Rudy will carry the "Reagan Democrats".
This also confirms many other polls indicating that Rudy is the most electable Republican.
Dominick
dominick at 1:02PM on Aug 1st 2007
9. I DON'T KNOW HOW HILLARY EVER TOLERATED SO MANY JEALOUS,VICIOUS RIGHT WINGERS WHOM FROM THE BEGINNING TORTURED HER,SLANDERED HER,LIED AND LIE ABOUT HER.THEY THREW SO MUCH TRASH AT HER,THAT IN THEIR EVIL ATTEMPTS TO DESTROY HILLARY.
DESTROYED THEIR ETHICS,HONESTY,GOOD WORK,INTEGRITY,RESPECT,ESTEEM AND CREDITABILITY.
NOW,LOOK WHERE SHE IS AND THEN LOOK WHERE YOU ARE!!!!!!!!!!!
I ASK HAVE YOU LEARNED ANY LESSON AT ALL?
carole at 1:17PM on Aug 1st 2007
10. ETHICS,HONESTY,GOOD WORK,INTEGRITY,RESPECT,ESTEEM AND CREDITABILITY. yes that is all about hillary lol
cliff at 5:37PM on Aug 1st 2007
11. carole? are you a bull dyke lesbian?
cliff at 5:55PM on Aug 1st 2007
12. Carole..you are another (Republicans) always trashing people..at the end you are the worst of all of us!!!..someone that refers to Hilary Clinton like that, reminds me of all that right wing trash..and they are now paying for..and keep falling!!!
emilio at 5:51PM on Aug 1st 2007
13. sorry but most of the trashing comes from the left name calling...insults..etc..i dont ever see that from the right
cliff at 5:57PM on Aug 1st 2007
14. hillary is americas hope omg why?
cliff at 5:59PM on Aug 1st 2007
15. ok emilio one example of right wing trashing? please?
cliff at 6:01PM on Aug 1st 2007