A Resurgent Rudy, a Tentative Thompson

Rudy Giuliani and Fred Thompson

In recent weeks, Rudy Giuliani has gone from a forgotten man to the GOP candidate who is front and center. Giuliani's campaign has become revitalized by the continued dickering of Fred Thompson, and a concerted internal effort to show that Giuliani is tough and has some vision.

The Democrats have definitely taken notice. Yesterday, John Edwards called Rudy "George Bush on steroids" (and Edwards on steroids would be John Kerry, but I digress), and the house organ for the Democrats, the New York Times, is running a hit piece in which they explore his relationship with Fox News leader Roger Ailes. Vanity Fair is also attacking Rudy, but from the angle of portraying his wife as an out-of-touch snob.

Recent polling numbers show that Giuliani has increased his lead to 9-percentage points on average against Fred Thompson and appears to be gaining momentum. Although the latest Rasmussen has him down one to Thompson, the latest NBC/WSJ has him up 13%.

All of this is good for Rudy's campaign, even hit pieces mean exposure and the majority of Americans have a good feeling about him, even with his dirty laundry being aired. Ironically, twenty years ago, a man who was divorced or unfaithful to his wife didn't have a chance to be President (case in point: Gary Hart). Now, however, a man's marital history is not as important. That was put to bed, so to speak, by Bill Clinton's antics in the Oval Office. This metamorphosis has had the effect of helping both Giuliani and Thompson and it's all thanks to Bubba.


The glacial speed at which the Thompson campaign is moving is having an effect on the race and that effect is a good one for Rudy. Thompson now has waited too long to announce and will have to wait until September as August is an absolutely dead news month. The extra month may indeed propel Giuliani to a greater lead and Thompson will need to work even harder to get that support back.

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