Obama's 'Gaffe,' Another View

No one should be surprised that Pakistan's Foreign Minister criticized Barack Obama for his threat to take action against his country should they continue to harbor those who struck the United States on 9/11. That's just the schizophrenic nature of politics in Pakistan, where co-operation with the United States is a double-edged sword:
"It's a very irresponsible statement, that's all I can say," Pakistan's Foreign Minister Kusheed Kasuri told AP Television News. "As the election campaign in America is heating up we would not like American candidates to fight their elections and contest elections at our expense."
One can't help but be reminded of the hot water that John McCain found himself in after singing his Beach Boys parody, "Bomb, bomb Iran," at a campaign stop. Back then it was mostly people on the left, weary of saber-rattling diplomacy, who were up in arms at the irresponsible nature of the comments. Indeed, I include myself among them. Now, however, it is primarily people on the right who decry the "rookie mistakes" or "lack of judgment" that Barack Obama has shown in singling out Pakistan.

While I agree that quiet, or even covert diplomacy is indeed required in places like Iran and Pakistan, I think it is worth taking a look at the passage of Obama's speech that has everyone up in arms. In fact, it boils down to the following three lines:
"There are terrorists holed up in those mountains who murdered 3,000 Americans. They are blotting to strike again. If we have actionable intelligence about high-value terrorist targets and President Musharaf will not act, we will."

It seems to me that the real rub here is that last bit. Obama saying that, if president, he's prepared to order a strike even if Musharaf drags his feet. Such a hypothetical is not hard to imagine. Cooperation from Pakistan comes in measured peaks and valleys. One day they go after a fiery cleric, the next they sign a treaty with the Taliban. I believe that Obama's point here, Mr. Karuri's analysis aside, is that more overt pressure needs to be put on upon the Pakistani leadership. In short, there are a whole lot of if's in Obama's formulation, but the underlying truth is pretty clear. Pakistan is where those who attacked us on 9/11 have been hiding out. Furthermore, does anyone think that our own president would not sign off on a hellfire missile if Bin Laden were spotted somewhere in Pakistan? Should we wait for a secure line to Musharaf to get the OK to pull the trigger?

Now, as for the question of political posturing. Sure, Obama is indeed trying to make gains against Hillary Clinton with every word he utters. But does this mean that he doesn't really believe what he said in his speech? All candidates sell ideas in an attempt to elevate themselves into office, whether they are ahead or behind in the polls. (Let's assume also that Tom Tancredo means it when he says the best way to prevent a nuclear attack in the U.S. is to let it be known that we'll target our retaliatory bombs on Mecca.) So, was this speech any more calculated than the hundred of others Obama has delivered, or is its significance simply amplified because of the standing in the polls? A week earlier he also pledged to speak directly to nations we consider enemies, and one assumes that means that his presidency would include a whole lot of dialog with reticent allies like Pakistan, too.

Lastly, there is one aspect of his remarks that has certainly helped Obama. He has, with this seemingly unlikely embrace of militarism, thrown some water on the specious notion that because of his father's ties to Islam he will be soft on terrorism. That may have been the real calculus, all along.

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