I'm not sure if it was his ill-advised acknowledgment that he would meet with America's greatest enemies, his comment about invading Pakistan or his comment about never using nukes under any circumstance, the American electorate is turned off by Barack Obama:
The charismatic newcomer to the national political scene had enjoyed stable support in the 25% to 27% range for ten straight weeks during May, June and July. In fact, except for a brief blip to the 30% range in April, Obama's numbers have been in the mid-20s just about all year. However, his support slipped slightly to 24% during the final full week in July and slipped again to 22% in the first full week of August. This is the first time all year that Clinton has doubled Obama's support in a full week's polling sample.
Obama is a full 22% behind Hillary Clinton and Rasmussen has called the race for her short any earth-shattering events happening.
The interesting thing about this report is that the African-American vote is split evenly between Clinton and Barack so the entire racism thing is kind of a non-issue. If blacks won't support the first serious candidate of color, no one can call racism against non-blacks.
Another interesting result is that both Rudy Giuliani and Fred Thompson are leading Hillary, albeit by a percentage point or two and John McCain is only two down head to head against Hillary. Essentially, any of the GOP front-runners will beat Hillary and Rasmussen goes into that explaining the results.
On Obama however, he has blown any chance he had by acting -- what would be a good choice of words here -- unpresidential. The U.S. population will allow for certain gaffes as we're all human, but Obama has been making them with increasing frequency and Hillary has not. We`are at a crucial time and the American people want to know that if we are ever faced with another 9/11 (or worse), we will have a President who acted as Giuliani and Bush did on that fateful day. Obama doesn't make people feel like hey are safe, just as 99% percent of the population silently were thankful that Al Gore wasn't President on 9/11.
Hillary knows how to run a campaign and has done it expertly. She also has made it easy to slide to the center come the general because she has not made too many statements that the GOP can use against her, unlike John "Silky Pony" Edwards.
Speaking of Edwards, the man with the beautiful hair is 31% behind Hillary and now firmly entrenched in the second tier of candidates.
Reader Comments ( Page 1 of 16)
1. hmm, interesting, Go Hillary!!!
However, I am overconfident that not one republican could beat Hillary. This is one poll, but every other poll I have seen shows Clinton with at least a 5-7% lead over her republican opponents.
Obama is not the guy for the job, neither is any republican. Hillary is the only current front-runner who deserves and would do an outstanding job as president.
Patrick at 11:41PM on Aug 6th 2007
2. Scott, this article sucks, its so twisted and full of bullshit. Honestly, wtf is so great about Hillary, she's the same as everybody else, the only candidate that doesn't seem corrupted by big politics is Ron Paul. This country is hopeless... Same bs all over again.
jj at 12:58AM on Aug 7th 2007
3. no major candidate, from hillary to rudy, has the capability of carrying out a foreign policy that puts america first -- they're all like bush in that they reject democracy in the middle east because the voting results don't suit their so-called allies -- but americans themselves are to blame: after all, bush had 90% backing when he sent our girls & boys into iraq, a step that anybody with half a brain could see was going to be a disaster -- to this day, americans keep falling for bush's scare tactics about the dangers of leaving iraq & they take seriously a nitwit like biden who wants to break up iraq as if it belonged to him -- moreover, americans swallow the baloney that petraeus is a straight shooter when he's just another bush flunkey with stars
herbert de turbot at 1:17AM on Aug 7th 2007
4. Scott,
Your nonsense has reached it's absolute zenith!!!
Al Gore on 9/11 ??? Whaaaat????
have you been eating PCB brownies?
Also, check that Barack is not the first candidate of color... this guy is whiter than OJ !!!
What about Pat Buchanun's cleaning lady.
Manfred at 3:18AM on Aug 7th 2007
5. Obama isn't that white. 99% of Americans prefered George Bush to Al Gore. I doubt that. Can anyone write these blogs.
Kamran at 3:22AM on Aug 7th 2007
6. Kamran, yes scott can write in all colors of crayola.
I will agree, however, it seems he is 99% wrong about any and all subject matter!!
Apparently, Scott thinks Al Gore must have been on airport security batcave monitoring patrol on 9/11?
What a clueless dweeb !!!!!
ps.. obamarama is so white he carrys a parasol ....
say good night, the party's over for him
Manfred at 3:36AM on Aug 7th 2007
7. 1. Obama has said he will meet with our enemies. But he has emphasized that he will not be having a cup of tea with them. He will meet with them to express American values and ideals.
2. Obama never said he was going invade Pakistan. He said that if there was actionable intelligence of high level al qaeda operatives and Pakistan won't act, the we will. That's far from an invasion.
3. He said he would not use nuclear weapons in response to a question about dealing with terrorists in Afghanistan and Pakistan. He never said that Nuclear weapons are always off the table.
jb1125 at 8:09AM on Aug 7th 2007
8. That is a stupid blog. The writer is suggesting we want someone to act like Guliani and Bush on 9/11. What? Someone that will do their job???! Someone to read "My Pet Goat" and look stupid? We need to think deeper about the way we assess our acndidates.
bruthanyc at 6:30PM on Aug 7th 2007
9. There sure seems to be a lot of Hillary bias in the reporting on the Democratic side. I am not a Democrat, nor Republican. I support Obama, and I don't buy the fact that he has slipped in the voters at large. In fact, his recent comments have no doubt struck a positive chord with many moderates and conservatives. It looks to me like the Democrats are going to do it again. Nominate a candidate that cannot win the general election. There are way too many people outside the left-wing of the DNC who will not vote to return the Clintons to the White House. Obama has Character and vision, two qualities much needed in these times; and he represents all Americans, not just the controlling interests of the Democratic Party.
Ben Godfrey at 12:19PM on Aug 7th 2007
10. I do not typically vote democratic, but I have to say I am at least considering voting for Obama in 2008 if he is the democratic nominee.
Let's keep the facts clear on what he really said on meeting with our enemies and about Pakistan..jb1125's 3 points listed are exactly right on.
Jrc
Jrc at 3:04PM on Aug 7th 2007
11. the bush plan is rediculous, what middle eastern country is democratic aside from israel. The whole area and the people in it do not know what a democracy is. they have never had one and it doesn't seem that they want one.
dick schultz at 1:32PM on Aug 7th 2007
12. seek the truth
http://www.squidoo.com/stats/rankings/double_speak
lewby54 at 1:11PM on Aug 7th 2007
13. If Clinton's get back in the White house it will be business as usual but worse. Obama is the only candidate that will change the corruption in our goverment. But i am fearful that is he does win, he will be assinated becuase he is for the people, not special interest groups. How can any president make a change with the senate and congress. We need a clean sweep of how we do business in America. My lord, we have spent over 500 billion on the war when we need it here. Why hasn't Bush protected our borders? the cells are all here waiting for the next major attach and he has done nothing. Why does he want to make Iraq a free country, so it can be like ours that is falling apart?
cynthia at 1:18PM on Aug 7th 2007
14. Most of the comments I've read about in reference to Clinton, or Obama, or their views on foreign policy and their standings in the polls seem to be with the mind-set still anchored in the brainwash consisting of the longevity of the Iraq compaign. Obama, unlike the other candidates, sounds like someone who wants to find a resolution to that whole situation AND EVERYTHING else that concerns America. What about domestic issues??!!! Our country is suffering in greater degree because of what is going on within America. Who is really addressing that? How do the polls reflect who might be the front-runner in dealing with the issues that are extremely important NOW and that will still be of utmost importance when the Iraq war fades? We must be successful on the homefront and abroad. Charity and goodwill begins at home FIRST, and then spreads abroad. Let's stop judging on just one issue. Be wholistic. Take everything into account. THINK AMERICA, THINK !!!!!!!!!
ken price at 1:43PM on Aug 7th 2007
15. Both the latest NBC and Fox polls have HRC beating all of the Republican candidates, and by a wider margin than Obama. (Sorry I don't know how to do the link; it's the free Polling Report page).
Kap at 1:22PM on Aug 7th 2007