Craig Back for More?

Senator Larry CraigNow this is an interesting story. Apparently, Senator Larry Craig is having second thoughts about resigning from the Senate. Here, as of tonight, is his spokesman, Sidney Smith:
"It's not such a foregone conclusion anymore, that the only thing he could do was resign. We're still preparing as if Senator Craig will resign September 30, but the outcome of the legal case in Minnesota and the ethics investigation will have an impact on whether we're able to stay in the fight--and stay in the Senate."
Indeed, Craig should have his day in court. Why should he resign when David Vitter, who, unlike Craig, actually acknowledged an ethical lapse, remains in the Senate? Sure, Craig did plead guilty to disturbing the peace, but he claims it was mistake. People do make them from time to time. As Craig's children claimed today, perhaps the senator was simply reaching for a piece of toilet paper at the wrong time. Maybe he really does affect a wide stance to keep his pants from hitting the ground. Maybe he didn't tell his wife or children or Senate colleagues about his guilty plea because he knew how shameful it would sound.

Craig's new lawyer, the same man who represents Michael Vick, will surely put the record straight, so to speak. To hell with Mitch McConnell, John McCain, Norm Coleman, Mitt Romney, and all those in the GOP who want Craig to quietly disappear. The man should stand and present his case.

Amazing. And you'd thought you'd seen it all, America.

Senator Larry Craig Resigns

Senator Larry Craig of Idaho has made the decision to resign his position and the effective date of resignation will be September 30th.

Whether it is a case of a corrupt politician getting what he deserved or the case of a naïve politician trying to do what was best under a stressful situation, the end result was going to be the same no matter what. Craig's career was, for all intents and purposes, over the moment he was booked for actions in a Minneapolis airport bathroom that an undercover police officer deemed lewd behavior.

According to The Politico, Craig's future in the Senate was further doomed when President Bush made the decision not to provide any support to the embattled senator and, to make matters worse, top GOP senators such as Norm Coleman, Mitch McConnell and John McCain all publicly chastised him. With such obvious lack of support, it became clear that Craig needed to resign and he did just that. Instead of becoming the longest "reigning" senator from the state of Idaho, Craig will now go down in the history books as the senator from Idaho who resigned from a sex scandal that never included any actual sex. His replacement to be named by the governor is expected to be Lt. Gov. Jim Risch.

GOP to Craig: Get Out, Fast

Well, at least the GOP leadership in the Senate learned something from the Mark Foley debacle last year.
Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell said in a statement on behalf of the party's Senate leadership: "This is a serious matter. Due to the reported and disputed circumstances, and the legal resolution of this serious case, we will recommend that Senator Craig's incident be reported to the Senate Ethics Committee for its review. In the meantime, leadership is examining other aspects of the case to determine if additional action is required."
And here's John McCain last night on Jay Leno's The Tonight Show:
"It's disgraceful and the people of Idaho will make a pretty rapid verdict in this situation... It harms our reputation with the American people, which is also already badly tarnished. I don't know if you saw a poll lately. It showed the approval rating of Congress' was at 18%, an historic low since Gallup has been taking polls. When get down that low, you're down to paid staffers and blood relatives."
Democrats might be chomping on the bit, thinking that Craig's seat will be an easy takeover. But it probably would have been only if this scandal had come out later, and if Larry Craig files for re-election. Remember last years' strategy by the Democrats - drop all the ethics bombshells on the Republicans during the month or two preceding the election. They knew that the GOP leadership was brain-dead as to the ramifications of things like the Foley scandal, not wishing to handle it in house preemptively. Waiting until late in the campaign season meant that the GOP leadership couldn't do anything about it.

Either Craig will elect not to seek re-election, or the Republican establishment will put its weight behind someone else in the primary. At least on the Senate side, leadership seems to understand that the days are long gone where they could blindly support losing causes due to some sort of tribal loyalty. I'm hoping that's true for someone embroiled in a scandal, like Craig, but also for someone who would willingly suck up national Republicans' money while opposing everything they stand for, like former Senator Lincoln Chafee.

Leiberman Attending Senate GOP Meetings

Senator Joe LiebermanCongressional Quarterly's CQPolitics.com has an interesting story up today by David Nather, Lieberman's New Party Line, telling us that during last week's circus over the Iraq war, Independent Sen. Joe Lieberman was found in a surprising place:
Lately, though, Lieberman has taken his alliance with GOP leaders up a notch. During the abortive debate on the defense authorization bill, he attended daily tactical sessions to help them plan their strategy for combatting anti-war amendments and their rhetorical points for use against the Democrats. And in a fitting symbolic twist, some of those meetings convened just down the hall from the office of Majority Leader Harry Reid of Nevada, who essentially owes his 51-seat majority to Lieberman's continued caucusing with the Democrats.
Lieberman was successful in getting his amendment on Iran added to the now pulled 2008 Defense Authorization Act. That amendment points out Iran's current role in Iraq in attacking U.S. troops, requiring regular updates on how we are dealing with them. It passed by a vote of 97-0. That particular vote creates yet another logical conundrum for Democrats, as Senator Lindsey Graham pointed out, because what the Democrats are ultimately supporting (a retreat from combat and combat areas) would both hand Iran a victory over us and hand a large part of Iraq over to Iran.

Good for Senator Lieberman. This shows just how tenuous Harry Reid and the Dems' hold on majority status really is. If the Dems aggravate Lieberman too much, as is happening now, the Connecticut senator might find himself forced to caucus with the Republicans. If so, hello Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell. Hey, no one forced the Democrats to support Ned Lamont for Senate instead of Lieberman. One act of loyalty deserves another.

Senate GOP Leader Sees Himself in Crosshairs

"Mitch McConnell is a marked man."

That's the lead sentence of a news story in McConnell's home state. The worse news for McConnell is why he's in the crosshairs. It has everything to do with his role in fighting a popular congressional agenda and his lockstep march with President Bush.

In a country deeply upset about the influence of big money in politics, Mitch McConnell is one of the leading bagmen -- and one of the fiercest opponents of reform. In a country frustrated about being caught in a civil war in Iraq, Mitch McConnell is one of the leading obstructionists keeping us bogged down. In a country where the President is about as popular as influenza, McConnell has been his go-to-guy in the Senate.

No surprise, then, that his poll numbers are tanking as Kentuckians join together to Ditch Mitch.

Al Franken Outraises Norm Coleman

Minnesota Senate candidate Al FrankenTwo recent stories from Chris Cillizza spell trouble for Minnesota Senator Norm Coleman. First off, in the second quarter of 2008, funnyman and former collegiate wrestler Al Franken outraised Coleman by $400,000. With his name recognition and deep pockets it appears certain that Franken will be the Democratic challenger for Coleman's seat.

Second, as the Senate prepares to debate a new bill proposing the withdrawal of our soldiers from Iraq, Coleman, along with three other GOP senators, will find himself the subject of a spate of unflattering ads sponsored by the DSCC. All four of the senators -- Susan Collins, John Sununu, Mich McConnell and Coleman -- are up for re-election, and considered vulnerable on this issue. Then again, what politician who has stood in lock-step with the president all this time is not vulnerable considering that new surveys suggest that 70% of Americans now want a pullout by April.

Not Dead Yet: Immigration Bill Comeback

It's alive! The immigration bill that is. Fully a week after most of the media and political punditry announced it dead and buried with good riddance, Sens/ Harry Reid and Mitch McConnell announced that the bill would be on the Senate schedule immediately after the energy bill.

No details on the specifics but apparently what changed is President Bush added more "security" stuff to the bill:
But last week conservatives blasting the bill as an "amnesty" for people who blatantly broke the law prevented it from proceeding to a final vote, handing Bush a setback in his hopes for a signature domestic achievement in his second term in the White House.

The breakthrough Thursday came hours after Bush backed an almost $4.4-billion burst of immediate spending to secure US borders, in answer to critics of the bill who said its security component was inadequate.

"This funding will come from the fines and penalties that we collect from those who have come to our country illegally," Bush said.
If the idea is to appease conservatives, this is not going to help. The first thing the conservatives will do is rightly ask why the bill can't impose the fines and border spending without the amnesty. Then wait awhile and see whether amnesty is even needed.

Continue reading Not Dead Yet: Immigration Bill Comeback

Immigration Bill Tanks in Senate

Harry Reid tried twice yesterday for cloture on the immigration bill. This move would have cut off debate on the bill and moved toward a straight up and down vote, needing only a majority of senators. But the cloture vote needed 60. He fell far short.

What this means is that unless Harry Reid pulls the bill, they are going to keep debating it and voting on amendments til the cows come home. Also if he doesn't pull it, then his threat to do so Wednesday would be revealed as a bluff.

The response to this from the immigration bill pushers was oddly upbeat. From Fox:

"I know where the votes are for final passage. ... We're going to get this done," Graham said, adding that the topic is not going to go away. "All I can say is, if you name a post office, you're going to be talking about immigration."

"There are ways we can do this," Reid said later. "There can be an agreement on the number of amendments. Hopefully we can do that in the next several weeks. We're very close." ...

"There are a lot of good things in this bill," Reid said. "I'm a creature of the Senate. I understand we live by the rules that govern this body. I accept that. We're going to do everything we can to pass this bill as soon as we can. When is that? I don't know, but we're going to work hard and try to put aside the hurt feelings that we have. The country needs and the Senate needs to do this."

Despite all the happy talk, it sounds like a couple of senators knew this setback was coming and were busy preparing some spin.

Continue reading Immigration Bill Tanks in Senate

Immigration Debate Operational Pause

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and Minority Leader Mitch McConnell announced this afternoon that he would back off and not try to push the comprehensive immigration reform plan through this week:
Senate leaders on Monday gave themselves an extension until June on what President Bush and lawmakers in both parties say is one of their most important assignments for the year: a broad immigration overhaul.

The reprieve gives the Senate more time for what promises to be a volatile debate on a bipartisan compromise that would give an estimated 12 million unlawful immigrants legal status.

The article doesn't state a reason for the retreat, but one can speculate that the howls on both the right and the left have had an effect. McConnell had previously stated that a vote would be taken before Memorial Day. I think it can be assumed that Reid took an informal poll and realized that he just doesn't have the time to get it through this week without it suffering an embarrassing defeat.

This is a bad sign for this flavor of immigration reform as detractors now will be able to mobilize support for amendments to either fix the bill or to insert a poison pill that would kill it altogether.

Continue reading Immigration Debate Operational Pause

Democrats Push Largest Tax Hike in History

Under the cover of the Iraq war funding bill and the immigration amnesty announcement, Nancy Pelosi and the House Democrats quietly passed their 2008 budget outline on Thursday, which contains the biggest effective tax hike in current dollars in American history, as well as ignoring wasteful spending and the oncoming insolvency of major social programs:

  • Raises taxes by $721 billion over five years, and a projected $2.7 trillion over 10 years, or more than $2,000 per household;
  • Includes 23 reserve funds that could be used to raise taxes by hundreds of billions more; Increases discretionary spending by nearly 9 percent in FY 2008 and does not terminate a single wasteful program;
  • Completely ignores the impending explosion of Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid costs;
  • and creates rules that bias the budget toward tax increases.
How do I come up with this being the largest tax hike in history, some (including my editors) might ask? Easy. In 2006, the U.S. Department of the Treasury's Office of Tax Analysis updated a scholarly article, Revenue Effects of Major Tax Bills (pdf file) that records the revenue effects of all major tax bills enacted since the modern tax system was put in place to pay for World War II. Take the above numbers (and the actual effect of the Democrats' suggested budget might even be as high as an increase of $900 billion over five years and a projected $3.3 trillion over ten years, a $2,641 per household tax increase) and compare them to all the other bills in the study using today's dollars. Even $721 billion over 5 years and $2.7 trillion over 10 years dwarfs anything we have ever seen before.

Continue reading Democrats Push Largest Tax Hike in History

Iraq: Another Bad Week


It is a veritable avalanche of dissent. Mitt Romney, Mitch McConnell, and, as Stump blogger John Mullaney reported, Saudi Arabia's King Abdullah are but the latest voices in the ever-growing chorus bemoaning the state of affairs in Iraq. No one, except for that die-hard 28% who still support President Bush, is surprised by these defections. There's just too much evidence to prove that the war is an outright disaster. According to the New York Times Magazine, some two million Iraqis have fled the country, most of them in the past two years. Up to 50,000 people a month seek refuge in the surrounding countries, mostly Syria, where they are now forbidden from buying property or owning cars.

Just how bad have things gotten in Iraq? Even the war's defenders have stopped berating the media for "only giving us the bad news." Why? Because the realization has finally set in that there isn't any good news to tell. Listen to Mitch McConnell on the prospect for political progress:
"The Iraqi government is a huge disappointment. So far, they've not been able to do anything they promised on the political side. It's a growing frustration."
In fact, if anything, the story from Iraq has become so depressing that most news outlets have started to limit their coverage to one or two items a day. At a given channel or website, you might, for example, read about the manhunt for the three captured U.S. soldiers, but not the fact that in the first 11 days of April 234 dead bodies (almost double the number for the same period last year) have been dumped in the streets of Baghdad. But the longer we, and our leaders, selectively blind ourselves to the totality of the situation in Iraq, the more likely we are to allow the war to continue. Fortunately, there is Icasualties.org, a fantastic website devoted to compiling every major news item on Iraq and Afghanistan. It is highly suggested reading, whether you're a part of the chorus or not.

Dem Senate Leader Seeks GOP Help

From this AP report
Democrats will seek Republican help to raise the minimum wage, cut taxes for working families and make health care and college more affordable, incoming Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said Saturday.

"We intend to reach out to President Bush and our Republican colleagues in Congress," the Nevada lawmaker said in the weekly Democratic radio address. "The last four years ... have shown that a political party in Congress acting alone can accomplish nothing."
This is absolutely realistic and not desperate at all. The senate is a funny place where it's much, much easier to keep something from happening than to get something or anything done. As GOP Minority Leader McConnell stated in this interview, Reid needs to find 60 votes to get something done, and all McConnell needs is 41 votes to stop something.

From the article, it's apparent that Reid's priorities of fixing medicare drug benefits, minimum wage, and stem cell research are precisely those issues which have broad public appeal and are likely to attract 60 votes.

It's apparent that "realistic Reid" is going for things that can be accomplished, not red meat for his base.

McConnell Threatens Hardball

ht to fellow Ohio Blogger Pro Ecclesia

Senate minority leader warns Democrats not to block judges.

If the "Democrats want our cooperation, they'll give the president's judicial nominees an up-or-down vote," McConnell said.

Vice President Dick Cheney told the same group Friday that Republicans' loss of Congress in last week's election won't dissuade Bush from continuing to nominate strict-constructionist judges to the federal bench.

To which probable Judiciary Committee Chairman Leahy responded (same article):
"Advise and consent does not mean giving the president a free pass to pack the courts with ideologues from the right or left," Leahy said. "The American people want the Senate to be more than a rubber stamp."
Prior to this election, the only method the Democrats had to block judges was the filibuster. This was used rarely until the last few cycles when the Democrats used it repeatedly to stall judicial nominations. Now the situation is a little better for them, they can not only filibuster, they can bottle nominations up in committee, refuse to schedule votes on the nominations on the floor in addition to a filibuster. With a 51 seat majority, the Democrats could also flat out vote down a particular nominee.

Mitch McConnell's goal is to get a full vote on the floor, and really the only leverage he has is to threaten to bring the whole Senate to a halt until judicial nominations are voted on. This is exactly what he is threatening. The president also holds this lever and could threaten to veto all legislation until judges are voted on. The American middle really doesn't care either way, but this is read meat for both the right and left base. No pork for anyone until nominations get passed.

Can McConnell stick to his guns? All he needs is 40 GOP senators to stick with him and it's no problem at all. It's going to get exciting.

How Bush Gets Another Supreme Court Nominee

One of the biggest setbacks for the Bush administration in losing the senate is the ability to put nominees on the federal bench. And of course the biggest of them all would be an opening on the Supreme Court.

John Paul Stevens, a reliable liberal vote, is only rumored to be in ill health. But nevertheless a Stevens retirement will trigger pandemonium on capitol hill. Bush will have a chance to switch a liberal vote to a moderate or conservative vote. But getting that nominee through the senate is a lot harder with 51 Democrats. They no longer need to filibuster, they can vote the nominee down outright if they hang together. And most Democrats voting for a Bush nominee will be fragged by their base.

Continue reading How Bush Gets Another Supreme Court Nominee

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