Harry Reid claims that Iraq is lost. If one defines "lost" in terms of failure to achieve a major objective then Reid may be correct. We have thus far failed to bring stability to certain parts of the country, and may not be able to do so. Even using this definition, though, Reid's assessment may be premature. We have significantly increased stability in key neighborhoods in Baghdad without having yet completed the troop surge. A less partisan, more sober Senate Majority Leader might wait for the surge to be completed before declaring defeat.
But the more important point is that Reid's implicit definition of "lost" is misguided. A loss doesn't occur just because you fail to succeed with respect to one important objective -- a loss occurs when the enemy achieves its major objectives. And that clearly hasn't happened it Iraq.
Al-Qaeda's objective is to drive the U.S. out of Iraq in order to gain ascendancy in Anbar province and/or elsewhere. That hasn't happened. Indeed, the best evidence is that Al Qaeda is losing ground in Anbar province, as local tribal chiefs, with our support, turn increasing against the terrorists.
The Baathist objective is to drive the U.S. out of Iraq in order to regain ascendancy, if not over the entire country then over certain parts of it. That hasn't happened. The Baathists can inflict violence in some areas (many other areas are relatively peaceful) but that's not the same as having control.
The objective of the radical Shia militias is to drive the U.S. out in order to gain control of the central government, and (it appears) cleanse Baghdad or many of its neighborhoods of Sunnis. They have not succeeded in gaining control of the government. Indeed, recently the radical Shia element withdrew from the government. Shia radicals have had some success with "cleansing" and revenge, but Sunnis now are returning (though probably not in large numbers) to their old Baghdad neighborhoods. Meanwhile, the Shia militias are struggling to maintain control over their neighborhoods in the face of the surge. But even if they were to regain undisputed control, their ambitions extend much further.
The only way our enemies can reasonably expect to accomplish their major objectives is for the U.S. to pull out of Iraq or to stay but do little. Otherwise, the best they can hope for is some sort of stalemate in the case of the Shia radicals, and worse in the case of the others. The pull out that would grant some or all of our enemies victory is the course advocated by Harry Reid and most of his party.
This uncomfortable truth explains, I think, why Harry Reid declared Iraq lost. He knows that if his party has its way, Iraq will be lost in the true sense of the word. One answer to this reality would be to argue that the lose wouldn't be that consequential or, more honestly, that avoding true defeat just isn't worth the price of remaining. Reid and his left-wing supporters have adopted a less honest solution. To dodge criticism for inflicting defeat, they have chosen to declare, contrary to the evidence, that Iraq is already lost.



Reader Comments ( Page 2 of 2)
16. I think that we can't call Iraq lost until we get a solid definition of what victory will look like. In the absense of that, we should pull out because we're throwing money and human lives at something we can't even define.
Daniel K at 5:47PM on Apr 26th 2007
17. Oil,oil,oil!!!! Bush has troops to protect his money making assets his IRAQI OIL!! There is nothing else in Iraq, this is his way to make up where his dad could not. Holding on to the family fortune!!! How many kids of Bush's buddies are in Iraq. I bet the number is ZERO!! Keep my son or daughter out of Iraq I will say anything you want. In other words keep my kid alive I will kiss your ass anytime!!!
Michael Quinn at 9:15PM on Apr 26th 2007
18. What do you call a President who repeatedly flouts the will of 70% of the American people - someone who is abusing their power and acting like a dictator. What do you call a Congress who is trying to stop the abuse of power by legal means - freedom fighters.
Phil at 3:47AM on Apr 27th 2007
19.
Nothing like continually talking about the need for victory when you have no idea about the rules of the game or who the opponents are - and that is exactly what is going on. There is a dark page in history waiting to be written about the sponsors of this war - their grandiose dreams of vindication, validation, and glory will remain what they are today - dreams. This war will not bring about any victors - all involved will share a measure of defeat in this tragedy.
max at 11:03PM on May 4th 2007