Skeptics say that we cannot know whether God exists, and in a sense they are right. The Bible says in Hebrews 11:1 that faith is "the substance of things hoped for, the evidence of things not seen." If the believer knew, there would be no question of faith. Consider this: I don't have faith that my daughter is in the seventh grade; I know my daughter is in the seventh grade. I haven't been to heaven, and so I cannot say that I know there is such a place. But I believe that there is. Faith is a statement of trust in what we do not know for sure.
But is such faith reasonable or is it, as the atheists frequently allege, "blind faith"? This central human conundrum is the subject of Pascal's famous wager. Pascal did not invent the wager. It was offered by the Muslim theologian Abu Hamid al-Ghazzali in his medieval work The Alchemy of Happiness. Pascal was familiar with Ghazzali and probably derived the argument from him. But Pascal gave the wager its current classic expression, and in doing so he places an unavoidable choice before all believers and unbelievers.
Pascal argues in his Pensees that in life we have to gamble. Let's say you are offered a new job that may take your career to new heights. It looks extremely promising, but of course there are risks. There is no way in advance to know how things will turn out. You have to decide if you will go for it. Or you are in love with a woman. You have been dating for a while, yet you cannot be certain what marriage to her is going to be like for the next several decades. You proceed on the basis of what you know, but what you know is, by the nature of the matter, inadequate. Yet you have to make a decision. You cannot keep saying, "I will remain agnostic until I know for sure." If you wait too long, she will marry someone else, or both of you will be dead.
In the same way, Pascal argues that in making our decision about God, we will never understand everything in advance. No amount of rational investigation can produce definitive answers, since what comes after death remains unknown. Therefore we have to examine the options, and we have to make our wager. But what are the alternatives, and how should we weigh the odds? Pascal argues that we have two basic choices, and either way we must consider the risk of being wrong.
If we have faith in God and it turns out that God does not exist, we face a small downside risk: metaphysical error. But if we reject God during our lives, and it turns out God does exist, there is much more serious risk: eternal separation from God. Based on these two possible outcomes, Pascal declares that it is much less risky to have faith in God. In the face of an uncertain outcome, no rational person would refuse to give up something that is finite if there is the possibility of gaining an infinite prize. In fact, under these conditions it is unreasonable not to believe. Pascal writes, "Let us weigh up the gain and loss involved in calling heads that God exists. If you win, you win everything. If you lose, you lose nothing. Do not hesitate, then: wager that He does exist."
The ingenuity of Pascal's argument is that it emphasizes the practical necessity of us making a choice. This necessity is imposed by death. There comes a day when there are no tomorrows, and then we all have to cast our votes for or against the proposition on the ballot. The unavoidability of the decision exposes the sheer stupidity of agnosticism and religious indifference. These are people who refuse to choose when there is no option to abstain. So the refusal to choose becomes a choice--a choice against God.
Pascal also exposes the pose of the atheist who fancies himself as a brave and lonely man facing the abyss. We admire a man who is steadfast in the face of unavoidable adversity. If we knew we were alone in the universe and that death was the end, then there is no alternative but to stand tough in our mortal skins and curse the darkness. But what would we think of a man who stands ready to face a horrible fate that he has a chance to avert? If you are trapped in the den with a hungry lion, and there is a door that may offer a way out, what sane person would refuse to jump through the door? Viewed this way, the atheist position becomes a kind of reckless intransigence, a foolish attempt to gamble with one's soul.
With their trademark venom, atheists typically condemn, although they cannot refute, Pascal's wager. Christopher Hitchens can do no better than to launch an ad hominem attack on Pascal as a "hypocrite" and a "fraud." Attempting condescension, Richard Dawkins proclaims Pascal's argument "distinctly odd." And why? Because "believing is not something you can decide to do as a matter of policy. At least, it is not something I can decide to do as an act of will." Dawkins is right about this, of course, but the real issue is whether he wants to believe and whether he is open to the call of faith.
Pascal writes that there are two kinds of reasonable people in the world: "those who serve God with all their heart because they know Him, and those who seek Him with all their heart because they do not know Him." Pascal recognizes that faith is a gift. We cannot demand it but only ask God to give it to us. In the meantime the best thing to do is to live a good and moral life, and to live as if God did indeed exist.
And pray the prayer of the skeptic, which I get from the philosopher Peter Kreeft. "God, I don't know whether you even exist. I think you may be only a myth. But I'm not certain....So if you do exist, you must be hearing me now. So I hereby declare myself a seeker, a seeker of the truth, whatever and wherever it is. I want to know the truth and live the truth. If you are the truth, please help me." It is the claim of Christianity that all who seek God in this way with earnest and open hearts will find Him.



Reader Comments ( Page 4 of 44)
46. brian,
You say you believe in the bible. According to it Jesus said by their fruits you will know them. I only know you from what you write on this blog. The fruit you produce on this blog is to promote what you would call evil for the most part. What am I to believe about you? We both know what a hard life Sober describes, yet if I were to have to make a choice between walking in her shoes or yours, I would, without hesitation chose hers.
Jerry Brown at 9:39AM on Apr 11th 2008
47. Roglo; I think many of us here share similar experiences.
Ryan Anderson at 9:40AM on Apr 11th 2008
48. C.S. Lewis once said that Jesus was a “liar, lunatic, or Lord". I believe he was lord. I am curious what others think and why.
janesophie1 at 9:41AM on Apr 11th 2008
49. Roglo
Thanks for sharing you experience.
Jerry Brown at 9:44AM on Apr 11th 2008
50. janesophie1; Given that 2000 years has passed and we have no first hand accounts, I think there are a lot more possibilities than CS Lewis presents.
Personally, my belief is that he was a beautiful and loving human man, and that his apostles were the liars.
He might have also had a touch of "lunatic", but there's nothing wrong with that!
Ryan Anderson at 9:44AM on Apr 11th 2008
51. Roglo,
Find inspiration wherever you must, but trust your instincts. You've done nothing wrong.
Mokele Mbembe at 9:45AM on Apr 11th 2008
52. 24. brian; good morning. I wish you well. I hope that you eventually find some people that can help you. It's evident that none of us on this blog are capable of helping and you are incapable of receivng any help or learning anything in this setting.
Take care.
Ryan Anderson at 9:00AM on Apr 11th 2008
-----------------------------------
Brian, They love you so much that they want to help you become an atheist. Geee, an atheist, oh boy.
The benefits of atheism ,lets see, to be a fool as william purple Hayes,and Linda, a sex creep as GHB and fl chick, A homo like Ryan, Jerry and somber.
No hope, no future, no peace no morals, no restraints, no sin no right no wrong, nothing but the cares of this life and in the end death a lonley one at that.
I wolud rather be a dumb down christian, oh look I am, Thank you Jesus.
Observant at 9:45AM on Apr 11th 2008
53. Observant; I could care less what brian believes. I want to help him become a non-asshole.
Ryan Anderson at 9:48AM on Apr 11th 2008
54. "A homo like Ryan"
Really???? Seriously???
You might want to ask my wife about that.
Oh, and since it seems you've decended to the 6th grade level, go ahead and ask your mother too about my sexual orientation. She'll tell you.
Ryan Anderson at 9:49AM on Apr 11th 2008
55. Somber:
The theology of "once saved, always saved" is not shared by all Christians; precisely because it is presumption. In Catholicism, we are taught that faith is a lifelong process. We daily accept Christ. The sacrament of reconciliation is where we acknowledge our sins, express remorse, and seek forgiveness. The priest acting in Persona Christi' absolves us in his name. You definitely understand how damaging sin is to yourself and the body of Christ. Purgatory is where you are cleansed of any remaining vestige of attachment to sin before approaching Jesus. There is no easy, cheap grace in traditional Catholic and Orthodox theology.
janesophie1 at 9:53AM on Apr 11th 2008
56. Observant,
The benefits of atheism ,lets see, to be a fool as william purple Hayes,and Linda, a sex creep as GHB and fl chick, A homo like Ryan, Jerry and somber.
No hope, no future, no peace no morals, no restraints, no sin no right no wrong, nothing but the cares of this life and in the end death a lonley one at that.
I wolud rather be a dumb down christian, oh look I am, Thank you Jesus.
Observant at 9:45AM on Apr 11th 2008
I hardly think it fair to blame Jesus for your stupidly.
Jerry Brown at 9:55AM on Apr 11th 2008
57. Within a half hour of Ryan asserting his agnosticism he is called an atheist twice.
Mokele Mbembe at 9:59AM on Apr 11th 2008
58. And a Homo!!!!!
Ryan Anderson at 10:01AM on Apr 11th 2008
59. brian and observant don't represent all christians... brian and observant don't represent all christians... brian and observant don't represent all christians... brian and observant don't represent all christians... brian and observant don't represent all christians...
I have to make sure I remind myself of this.
Ryan Anderson at 10:02AM on Apr 11th 2008
60. janesophie1,
For someone with very different beliefs from my own you're not that bad to deal with. I just want to know how you feel about brian and Observant's personalities and behavior.
Mokele Mbembe at 10:02AM on Apr 11th 2008