Skeptics say that we cannot know whether God exists, and in a sense they are right. The Bible says in Hebrews 11:1 that faith is "the substance of things hoped for, the evidence of things not seen." If the believer knew, there would be no question of faith. Consider this: I don't have faith that my daughter is in the seventh grade; I know my daughter is in the seventh grade. I haven't been to heaven, and so I cannot say that I know there is such a place. But I believe that there is. Faith is a statement of trust in what we do not know for sure.
But is such faith reasonable or is it, as the atheists frequently allege, "blind faith"? This central human conundrum is the subject of Pascal's famous wager. Pascal did not invent the wager. It was offered by the Muslim theologian Abu Hamid al-Ghazzali in his medieval work The Alchemy of Happiness. Pascal was familiar with Ghazzali and probably derived the argument from him. But Pascal gave the wager its current classic expression, and in doing so he places an unavoidable choice before all believers and unbelievers.
Pascal argues in his Pensees that in life we have to gamble. Let's say you are offered a new job that may take your career to new heights. It looks extremely promising, but of course there are risks. There is no way in advance to know how things will turn out. You have to decide if you will go for it. Or you are in love with a woman. You have been dating for a while, yet you cannot be certain what marriage to her is going to be like for the next several decades. You proceed on the basis of what you know, but what you know is, by the nature of the matter, inadequate. Yet you have to make a decision. You cannot keep saying, "I will remain agnostic until I know for sure." If you wait too long, she will marry someone else, or both of you will be dead.
In the same way, Pascal argues that in making our decision about God, we will never understand everything in advance. No amount of rational investigation can produce definitive answers, since what comes after death remains unknown. Therefore we have to examine the options, and we have to make our wager. But what are the alternatives, and how should we weigh the odds? Pascal argues that we have two basic choices, and either way we must consider the risk of being wrong.
If we have faith in God and it turns out that God does not exist, we face a small downside risk: metaphysical error. But if we reject God during our lives, and it turns out God does exist, there is much more serious risk: eternal separation from God. Based on these two possible outcomes, Pascal declares that it is much less risky to have faith in God. In the face of an uncertain outcome, no rational person would refuse to give up something that is finite if there is the possibility of gaining an infinite prize. In fact, under these conditions it is unreasonable not to believe. Pascal writes, "Let us weigh up the gain and loss involved in calling heads that God exists. If you win, you win everything. If you lose, you lose nothing. Do not hesitate, then: wager that He does exist."
The ingenuity of Pascal's argument is that it emphasizes the practical necessity of us making a choice. This necessity is imposed by death. There comes a day when there are no tomorrows, and then we all have to cast our votes for or against the proposition on the ballot. The unavoidability of the decision exposes the sheer stupidity of agnosticism and religious indifference. These are people who refuse to choose when there is no option to abstain. So the refusal to choose becomes a choice--a choice against God.
Pascal also exposes the pose of the atheist who fancies himself as a brave and lonely man facing the abyss. We admire a man who is steadfast in the face of unavoidable adversity. If we knew we were alone in the universe and that death was the end, then there is no alternative but to stand tough in our mortal skins and curse the darkness. But what would we think of a man who stands ready to face a horrible fate that he has a chance to avert? If you are trapped in the den with a hungry lion, and there is a door that may offer a way out, what sane person would refuse to jump through the door? Viewed this way, the atheist position becomes a kind of reckless intransigence, a foolish attempt to gamble with one's soul.
With their trademark venom, atheists typically condemn, although they cannot refute, Pascal's wager. Christopher Hitchens can do no better than to launch an ad hominem attack on Pascal as a "hypocrite" and a "fraud." Attempting condescension, Richard Dawkins proclaims Pascal's argument "distinctly odd." And why? Because "believing is not something you can decide to do as a matter of policy. At least, it is not something I can decide to do as an act of will." Dawkins is right about this, of course, but the real issue is whether he wants to believe and whether he is open to the call of faith.
Pascal writes that there are two kinds of reasonable people in the world: "those who serve God with all their heart because they know Him, and those who seek Him with all their heart because they do not know Him." Pascal recognizes that faith is a gift. We cannot demand it but only ask God to give it to us. In the meantime the best thing to do is to live a good and moral life, and to live as if God did indeed exist.
And pray the prayer of the skeptic, which I get from the philosopher Peter Kreeft. "God, I don't know whether you even exist. I think you may be only a myth. But I'm not certain....So if you do exist, you must be hearing me now. So I hereby declare myself a seeker, a seeker of the truth, whatever and wherever it is. I want to know the truth and live the truth. If you are the truth, please help me." It is the claim of Christianity that all who seek God in this way with earnest and open hearts will find Him.



Reader Comments ( Page 6 of 44)
76. 64. Jerry; what's really sad is that Observant means "homo" as an insult.
Ryan Anderson at 10:18AM on Apr 11th 2008
Observant and brian have much in common in handing our insults. Like I told brian by their fruits you will know them. Both of these need mental help, and blame it on Jesus. If they had knowing as they claim, that would be sinning. However because they are in the dark according to the idea sin being making a couscous decision to go against God's will they are incapable, at this time, of knowing God or his will they are incapable of sin, evil yes
Jerry Brown at 10:31AM on Apr 11th 2008
77. ryan,
yeah ask john lennons son julian about john. your idiot facad of his imagine song would fall to pieces.
brian at 10:32AM on Apr 11th 2008
78. jerry,
your last diatribe was not coherant. are you ok today?
brian at 10:34AM on Apr 11th 2008
79. 64. Jerry; what's really sad is that Observant means "homo" as an insult.
Ryan Anderson at 10:18AM on Apr 11th 2008
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No Ryan that is incorrect. It shows the condition of ones character. As in being filled with all unrighteousness, fornication, wickedness, covetousness, maliciousness;
Observant at 10:35AM on Apr 11th 2008
80. Why is this constant religious preaching considered a NEWS blog?
DavidHH at 10:36AM on Apr 11th 2008
81. I still have to add one more thing: the fact that Dinesh, as a Neophite is so zealous might not matter in the end! Crooked Thinking is very common nowadays! What is more of a problem, I think, is the large audience and the huge level of approval of this type of reasoning!
This one more proof that Religion is nothing more that DISTORTED THINKING!
Anton at 10:37AM on Apr 11th 2008
82. "your idiot facad of his imagine song would fall to pieces."
Ryan, this is the man who wants to guide you into the spiritual life.
Observant,
"bold as a lion and harmless as a dove."
The weather is improving birds are finally coming back! Unfortunately the consequence is bird guano all over my windshield this morning. Ironically my street is called Dovecote. You didn't have anything to do with my windshield with your leonine boldness, did you?
I'm seeing a lot of weird coincidence lately.
Mokele Mbembe at 10:37AM on Apr 11th 2008
83. Somber does have a way with words. If she ever does write a book (The Dinesh Delusion?) I'll buy it with real money.
Mokele Mbembe at 10:40AM on Apr 11th 2008
84. brian even believes that Jews are atheists too. That is how stupid and/or bigoted he is, and why he is undeserving of direct responses from any human being (note that that sub-group does not include dd).
America's Most Gangsta at 10:47AM on Apr 11th 2008
85. brian: "you have convinced yourself there is no god therefore you can pursue your immoral lifestyle"
You know, I'd love to know what it is that I do that is SO immoral.
AndrewV at 10:40AM on Apr 11th 2008
86. One thing you can take to the bank is, Observant, and brian are looking in a mirror, and what they say is really about themselves
Jerry Brown at 10:41AM on Apr 11th 2008
87. within an hour of asserting my Judaism, the little dd-licker called me an atheist too.
pathetic!
America's Most Gangsta at 10:47AM on Apr 11th 2008
88. Ask Sean Lennon, who was raised by John, about his father, and he will have many good, pure, wonderful things to say. I know this first-hand. Brian probably doesn't know John even had another son. Julian is a product of John's youth, back in England, when he was a kid himself. Julian is a disgruntled, talentless kid...like brian.
America's Most Gangsta at 10:47AM on Apr 11th 2008
89. 84. One thing you can take to the bank is, Observant, and brian are looking in a mirror, and what they say is really about themselves
Jerry Brown at 10:41AM on Apr 11th
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lol, That's kinda like Im rubber and you are glue.
Observant at 10:46AM on Apr 11th 2008
90. brian, wow... I never realized that murder, rape, and theft were all the result of a genetic disorder. I would really love to see that information, could you put a link to it? It would add credibility to the argument that the only sin god does care about is believing in him and that pedophilia, rape, lies, greed, and murder aren't sins at all.
I really have to wonder about the priorities of such a being.
Somber at 10:50AM on Apr 11th 2008