Search
About This Blog
Resources
Blog Roll
- Captain's Quarters
- Cliff Schecter
- CNN's Political Ticker
- Conservative Grapevine
- Crooks & Liars
- Daily Kos
- Drudge
- FactCheck.org
- Huffington Post
- Instapundit
- Little Green Footballs
- News Bloggers
- Political-Buzz
- Power Line
- RedState
- Slate - Trailhead
- Swampland
- Talking Points Memo
- The Daily Dish
- The Plank
- The Young Turks
- Wonkette
Some Numbers for the Rest of the Silly Season
What kind of Tuesday are we calling May 6? Little Super Tuesday? The Tuesday to end all Tuesdays? Maybe not Super, but Really Important Tuesday?
Now that the residents of North Carolina and Indiana have been pandered to, bamboozled and otherwise rubbed up against, I must say that living in an earlier primary state, this card-carrying elitist (who actually should profile as a Clinton supporter) is a little miffed that nobody kissed my tushie this hard.
But getting down to brass tacks, its still just a numbers game. Did Hillary convince enough lunch pail Reagan Dems or Obama get enough arugula-chomping multiracial elitists?
Here's what MSNBC's number-cruncher Chuck Todd has to say:
Despite the fact that another month of contests is still on the docket, nearly half of all remaining delegates will get handed out tomorrow. And the math will be a lot more crystal clear after tomorrow, both in delegates and the popular vote. Following Guam, there are now 404 pledged delegates up grabs, and 187 of them will be decided on Tuesday. Plus, per our count, there are 268 undeclared superdelegates. Here are the basics of what each candidate needs: Assuming he wins half of the delegates tomorrow (93), Obama needs just 38% of ALL remaining delegates to get to the magic number of 2,025. If Clinton wins 94 delegates on Tuesday, she will need 66% of all remaining delegates. In addition, assuming that delegate split tomorrow, then Clinton will need 85% of all remaining PLEDGED delegates to catch Obama for the lead in that category. Moreover, if Clinton simply wanted to cut Obama's pledged delegate lead to 100, she'd need to win 62% of all remaining delegates after tomorrow. As we've noted before, the math is certainly difficult for Clinton.
Now, I know that many of you now consider MSNBC the "enemy" like Fox News was not that long ago. But no matter what channel you have on the math remains the same. Some cable news stations just think Clinton is better candidate. Whether they think that because they fear loss of access come January or that Clinton will be easier to beat in the fall, the reality is that they ALL have a stake in keeping this primary race going as long as possible - good old fashioned ratings, ad sales and profits.
So in case you missed what Todd said above, here's a video spelling it out in more detail. WARNING: This video contains images of Keith Olbermann.
Of course, Senator Clinton can try the "Nuclear Option" and wreck what's left of this party. So turn on your caps lock and join the party in the comments section.
One more video for you Obama fans:
I see my right-leaning colleagues are gearing up for the general election. I have to dust-off my McCain material. I'll check in with you all tonight! I think Tommy is live-blogging while I'm at my Drinking Liberally, so it should be fun.
Recent Comments
(Page 1 of 1)Cecil Jones5:51AMMay 6th 2008
I'll venture a guess as to what will happen tomorrow. Obama wins North Carolina by 8 easy and the night shocker is Indiana with Obama by 2. Hillary prepares to give her unity speech, but refuses to give it this night. Why do I predict a double Obama victory? Did you see James Carville's body language? He's a strong Hillary supporter and not a great poker player. He has a tell.
lmay9:02AMMay 6th 2008
John Edwards will not endorse Obama..says the Messiah keeps calling him but claims he wants to see more substance...Good for you John, I told you he would listen to his wife!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Go Hillary!! All the way today!! Keep it close in NC..and sweep Indiana!!
We are all behind you 100%
P.S.....Even my repub friends will vote for you, but not Obama!!!
Hillary, all the way to the convention!!!
elizabeth santilli9:25AMMay 6th 2008
OUR COUNTRY IS IN BIG TROUBLE!
ONLY HILLARY HAS BETTER PLAN TO TAKE US OUT FROM THIS BIG MASS.
IF YOU LOVE YOUR COUNTRY VOTE FOR HILLARY!!!
joedenver609:48AMMay 6th 2008
If the media and those in office had done their research on obama when the election began, he would not have been on the ballot and the numbers would mean a hell of a lot more. Our country would not be so divided as it is now.......The democratic party is on the verge of destruction, because the far left liberals closed their eyes and wanted to place the most far left senator in office at the expense of our country....to hell with far left liberals
judi wegener10:08AMMay 6th 2008
Excellent Excellent Excellent I think it is time for her to step down and quit insulting our decisions in the race. Those other little states she talks about only don't matter because they didn't vote for her. The race is over and only the Clintons don't acknowledge it. I really think that they thought because the two were running for the nomination that everyone would step aside and give them their due....little did they know that many Democrats were sick of the lies they told and the sham of their admin. I for one will never cover for these two people and want a new start in Washington, one with Hope. Obama 2008
Kjd10:14AMMay 6th 2008
People still watch that MSNBC ? They are a joke at best. 30th in the ratings compared to 6th for FOX !
They should have known better than to eat one of their own publically. Talk about old politics, you can find it all day on MSNBC. Fat ugly grumpy biased fools the lot of them!
emelpe1:32PMMay 6th 2008
Jesus, but Keith Olbermann is a pompous, long-winded bore! As a cure for insomnia, he sure beats Lunesta!
CONCERNED2:18PMMay 6th 2008
WILL OBAMA REALLY TELL MILLIONS OF AMERICANS THEY DON’T COUNT?
MICHIGAN HAS ANOTHER ELECTION IN AUGUST --- THE DNC NEEDS TO PUT OBAMA AND CLINTON ON THE MICHIGAN TICKET!
IF OBAMA DOES NOT AGREE TO THIS --- HE WILL BE TELL ING MILLIONS OF AMERICANS THAT THEY DON’T COUNT!
OBAMA ONLY CARES ABOUT WHAT HE WANTS.
HE WAS ON THE FLORIDA BALLOT. COUNT FLORIDA’S VOTES.
IF OBAMA DOES NOT AGREE TO THIS --- THEN HE IS NOT AN AMERICAN.
WE HAVE 50 STATES. LET ALL OF AMERICAN'S VOTES COUNT.
COME NOVEMBER, WE'LL SEE A NEW SET OF RULES --- THE BIASED MEDIA AND THE DNCCAN'T PROTECT THE GOLDEN BOY FOREVER!
IF OUR DELEGATES IGNORE OUR “VOICES” AND DON'T SPEAK FOR US --- VOTE THEM OUT AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. CLEAN OUT MEMBERS OF CONGRESS WHO DON’T DO THEIR JOB!
VOTE COUNTRY --- NOT PARTY --- WE ARE AMERICANS FIRST!
IF THE DNC HAD VETTED OBAMA, HE WOULDN'T BE IN THIS RACE --- EDWARDS WOULD BE.
AMERICAN3:09PMMay 6th 2008
I hear the Swift Boat bells a-ringing! It's music to my ears!
THINK ABOUT IT! Obama does have a lot of terrorist friends. DON'T FORGET 9/11, WRIGHT, AYERS, REZKO, HAMAS, FARRAKHAN AND MANY OTHERS!
We really don’t need a “former” Muslim, so-called “Christian” (ho attends an anti-American church, which spews "God Damn America" to its congregation), in the White House. OBAMA DENOUNCES WRIGHT AFTER HIS POLL NUMBERS DROP.
Obama's anti-American wife doesn’t qualify as a first lady.
Obama can’t make up his mind who he is --- and we don’t need him pushing the “button”! He is not a uniter. He does not have a political track record. He couldn’t answer tough questions in the debate, so now he’s making false promises.
COME NOVEMBER, WE'LL SEE A NEW SET OF RULES --- THE BIASED MEDIA CAN'T PROTECT THE GOLDEN BOY FOREVER!
AMERICAN3:11PMMay 6th 2008
THIS IS PROBABLY A GOOD TIME FOR “HOWARD MOOOOOOO DEAN” AND “NANCY BAAAAAHH PELOSI” TO DO SOMETHING ABOUT MICHIGAN AND FLORIDA. DON’T TELL MILLIONS OF AMERICANS THEY DON’T COUNT.
MICHIGAN HAS A VOTE COMING UP IN AUGUST --- ADD OBAMA AND HILLARY TO THE TICKET!
OF COURSE, THEY’RE GONNA WAIT AND SEND OBAMA HOUND DOGS TO DRIVE HILLARY OUT OF THE RACE FIRST.
OBAMA IS RESTING ON HIS LAURELS AND COMPLAINING ABOUT HILLARY.
WELL, THERE IS A PA COMING TO AN INDIANA AND NORTH CAROLINA NEAR YOU --- WE STILL HAVE MONTANA, SOUTH DAKOTA, WEST VIRGINIA AND OREGON.
THE MESSIAH IS DOWN IN THE MUD WITH JEREMIAH WRIGHT. OUR GIRL HILLARY IS SITTING PRETTY!
IF OUR DELEGATES AND MEMBERS OF CONGRESS DON’T SPEAK OUR VOICES --- VOTE THEM ALL OUT!
Most Commented On Posts
Most Recent Comments
Political Machine Photo Galleries
Politics Video
 | McCain visits grocery storeWhile visiting a grocery store in Pennsylvania, John McCain touts the success of the troop surge. (July 23) |
 | Obama tours Middle EastCNN's Candy Crowley reports from Sderot, Israel after Sen. Barack Obama meets with Palestinian and Israel's leaders. (July 23) |
 | McCain vs. ObamaMcCain and Obama spar over Iraq, while the White House tries to avoid the brawl. Ed Henry reports. (July 23) |
 | Petraeus opposes Obama's planSen. Barack Obama left Iraq, saying a 16-month timetable for withdrawing troops is doable. CNN's Candy Crowley reports. (July 23) |
 | Obama lays wreath at memorialBarack Obama lays a wreath upon a memorial that encases the ashes of Holocaust victims in Jerusalem. (July 23) |
| « See More Politics Video | |
Declare Yourself is a campaign that encourages young Americans to register and vote.
REGISTER TO VOTE NOW AT:www.declareyourself.org
Katherine12:40AMMay 6th 2008
I will not dare even CLICK on anything that has MSNBC and Keith Olbermann's image on it.
-------------------
I don't know what will happen tomorrow. No, I do have a pretty good idea.
I think the most important thing is to look at the wayyy bigger picture...try to always envision what the general election will look like.
It's only Hillary who can make it in the general for democrats.