Carville: Obama Will Beat McCain

In two different interviews today--one with ABC's Diane Sawyer, and another with TPM's Greg Sargent--Hillary Clinton loyalist James Carville undercut a key rationale for Clinton staying in the race. According to Carville, Barack Obama will beat John McCain in the fall contest. True, he thinks that Hillary would win by a greater margin, but he believes that the Illinois Senator would as well:

Asked if he thought Obama would beat McCain, Carville said, "I think he will. I think Democrats will win in November... There's a crushing desire for change in this country. No one has seen a party or brand held in such low esteem" than the Republicans.

Earlier in the day, Carville was still spinning the assassination remarks, accusing the Obama camp of trying to benefit from Clinton's gaffe. But even then, he veered off-message and asserted that Obama would beat McCain in the general election. Watch:



All the self -righteous posturing aside, superdelegates within listening or reading range of these two interviews must have been struck at the divergent signals coming from Carville, who told Sargent that Obama's weakness among whites who haven't gone to college was overrated:

"I would argue that if he [Obama] gets what Kerry got he will still win the election, because the dynamics have changed."

Those dynamics? Among others, a huge surge of young people and African Americans turning out to vote.

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