McCain Still Sinking

By David Knowles

Oct 6th 2008 10:02PM

Filed Under: Republicans, Barack Obama, John McCain, Breaking News, Polls


The effect of John McCain's new fear strategy will not be felt for a few days yet, but the reason for the sudden transformation continues to resound. Simply put, McCain's numbers show no signs of improving. Last week, McCain's campaign laid out its strategy for electoral victory. It consisted of focusing on three states: Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. As I reported at the time, McCain trailed in all three. By 5% in Minnesota, 7.9% in Pennsylvania, and 5% in Wisconsin. Well, checking back in a few days later, things have gotten even worse. McCain is now behind 7.6% in Minnesota, 9.4% in Pennsylvania, and by 5% in Wisconsin.

Further complicating this math problem for McCain, aggregate polls show that he now trails in states his strategy considered in the bag, Missouri (-.3%) and North Carolina (-1.5%), where he was slightly ahead just last week. Obama has also built upon his leads in Florida, Ohio, Virginia, New Mexico, and Colorado.

It is before this backdrop that we see the calculated decision for McCain and Sarah Palin to whip up partisan crowds into shouts of "terrorist!" and "kill him!" in place of substantive policy proposals. It's sad to watch McCain choose this path. He's truly playing to the lowest common denominator now.

Obama Camp: Not the Ayers He Knew

By Mark Impomeni

Oct 6th 2008 10:00PM

Filed Under: Barack Obama, 2008 President, Scandal

Stung by Gov. Sarah Palin's revisiting of Sen. Barack Obama's ties to former 60's radical William Ayers, the Obama campaign today tried to defend the candidate against charges that he "pals around with terrorists." Campaign spokesmen fanned out on television this morning to answer Palin and explain away the Obama-Ayers connection. In so doing, the campaign employed a defense that it has used time and time again when questions about Sen. Obama's associations have been raised: Obama was unaware of Ayers radical past, says the campaign.



The McCain campaign, sensing a bite on its line, fired back. The campaign released a barrage of past Obama campaign statements in which he referred to Ayers as everything from, "a guy who lives in my neighborhood," to someone who, "engaged in...despicable acts 40 years ago, when I was 8 years old." Those statements are meant to obscure the working relationship that Obama and Ayers shared on two public boards in the late 1990's and early 2000's. Today's line from the Obama campaign seems to acknowledge that there was a close working relationship of a nature greater than the campaign has thus far been willing to admit.

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Federal Bailout or Terrifying Police State?

Ken Layne's OutrageHe was right there on C-SPAN, an actual congressman and opponent of the Bush Administration's bailout of Wall Street, speaking on the House floor about those mysterious warnings Henry Paulson supposedly gave to the doubting lawmakers before the $700 billion bill was first rejected by Congress.

"The only way they can pass this bill is by creating and sustaining a panic atmosphere," Congressman Brad Sherman said Thursday. "Many of us were told in private conversations that if we voted against this bill ... there would be martial law in America."

The next day, the House passed the Senate's version of the bailout -- the one McCain approved, with all those pork earmarks he loves so much -- and we were miraculously saved from an American Police State. For a few more days, anyway. But would it really be so bad, to live under Bush-Paulson-McCain tyranny?

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Dems Looking to Pay Back Union Bosses

By Mark Impomeni

Oct 6th 2008 8:30PM

Filed Under: Democrats, Barack Obama, 2008 President, 2008 Senate

With Sen. Barack Obama pulling ahead in the national polls, talk has begun to center on the length of his coat tails if he does manage to hold on and win the presidency less than a month from now. Of particular interest is the Senate, where a feisty Republican minority has been able to frustrate Democrats' plans again and again by blocking legislation with filibusters, just as Democrats did when they were in the minority between 2002 and 2006. Democrats have high hopes that they will be able to capture a filibuster-proof majority of 60 seats with gains in this year's election. Together with an Obama victory and expected gains in the House, that would give Democrats virtually unchecked power to enact their agenda.

One of the first items on Democrats' list is legislation to pay back a key constituency, organized labor, for its loyalty and campaign contributions. Unions are expected to spend as much as $300 million dollars to elect Democrats this year, and Democrats, including Sen. Obama are eager to repay them with legislation. The bill in question is the rather inappropriately named Employee Free Choice Act, and it aims to increase union membership nationwide by changing the way employees elect join unions.

Under current law in most states, employees vote in secret ballot elections for union representation or no union representation. But under a bill co-sponsored by Sen. Obama, and backed by Congressional Democrats, the secret ballots would be done away with in favor of employee signatures on sign up cards. The so-called "card check" provision would undo the process of secret election ballots. Instead of a free and fair election, a simple majority of employee signatures would obligate employers to allow worker to organize and bargain collectively. That would potentially expose unwilling employees to intimidation by union organizers and fellow employees. The bill would almost certainly increase union membership, which has fallen to roughly 12% of the American workforce; and would fatten the wallets of union bosses with new membership dollars that they would continue to lavish on Democrat election campaigns. It would be a quid pro quo potentially worth hundreds of millions of dollars to both labor and the Democratic Party.

Sen. Obama says that he wants to change politics-as-usual in Washington. But his efforts on behalf of organized labor and the Employee Free Choice Act are quintessentially the stuff of typical Washington wheeling and dealing. And Democrats are growing confident that they will win the seats necessary to begin taking bids on bills for favorite interest groups. Labor will not be the last Democratic constituency to win big favors from a one-party ruled federal government. Historically, the American people have shown an aversion to handing control of Congress and the White House to the same party. Union bosses and Democrats are betting that this year will be different.

Obama Fights Fire With Keating 5

By Dave

Oct 6th 2008 8:27PM

Filed Under: John McCain, 2008 President, Investigations

The Corner:
The Obama campaign's response to the question appears to be to raise John McCain's connection to the Keating Five scandal. It is by no means out of bounds to raise the issue. McCain received campaign funds from Keating, his wife's company had been involved in investment ventures with him, and he once met with federal regulators about Keating's bank - though the Senate Ethics Committee found that unlike three other senators involved in the scandal, "Senator McCain's actions were not improper." The committee said only that he had exercised bad judgment by being involved with Keating at all and not seeing what others were doing. In fact, Bob Bennett, who was the Democratic lawyer selected by the committee to investigate the Keating Five, says in his book that he recommended that McCain's name be dropped from the investigation because there was no evidence against him but, for political reasons (the other Senators were all Democrats), McCain's name was left on the list.

McCain's response to that scandal should certainly be compared with Obama's Ayers explanations. McCain has spoken and written about every detail of the Keating mess, has expressed open contrition for allowing himself to be drawn into it even tangentially, and devoted years of his career to combating corruption as a result. He even badly overreacted and pushed for vastly excessive regulation of campaign financing. He has said (in a book in which he details his and others' actions in the matter) that merely the appearance of impropriety involved makes his involvement with Keating "the worst mistake of my life."

Anyone paying attention and following politics knew this was going to come up. The Obama campaign even had a 13 minute documentary and a website ready to go. Wow were they thinking ahead or what? (end snark). McCain hasn't had a lot of breaks, but flushing this issue out now is one of them. It's just not going to dominate the news cycle in the middle of the 1929 crash part II. Not that that helps McCain either, but take the breaks as they come!

Oh and on the Keating five, yes McCain was one of them, definitely an issue an informed voter should know about. But it was investigated by a Democratic congress and McCain came out surprisingly well and spent the next part of his career making amends and leading a reform agenda on campaign finance, as the article above points out. The documentary linked to here is good as propaganda but the Wikipedia article has the basic facts you need to know and won't take 13 minutes of your life.

McCain-Palin Open Two Fronts of Attack

By Dave

Oct 6th 2008 8:18PM

Filed Under: John McCain, 2008 President, Sarah Palin

Hotline On Call:
"Today, they're saying for the first time that Barack Obama didn't know back then about Ayers's radical background," Palin told a rowdy crowd of 8,800 people at the Germain Arena. "But it was only a few months ago that Barack was saying that Ayers was just a 'guy in my neighborhood.'"

Palin said she found it unbelievable that Obama "didn't know a few months ago that he had launched his political career in the living room of a domestic terrorist."

"So what's next?" she said. "Claiming their ticket doesn't define higher taxes as patriotic? Or claiming he's just learned that tax increases on small business kill jobs? Claiming he's just learned that American soldiers don't actually target and kill civilians in Afghanistan? Or claiming he's surprised that the surge and the war on terrorism is a success? Oh wait, he's already done that."
Har! They give her the best lines. Ayers is obviously fair game, not only is he connected with Obama about three different ways (fundraising, Woods Hole, and Annenberg) but the fact that a domestic terrorist can get a nice plum job at a university is deeply, deeply annoying to most mainstream Americans. It doesn't hurt to point out that leftist terrorists get laundered while righty terrorists get the manhunt treatment (as they should).

But not only that, but the McCain campaign has now opened a second front around Fannie Mae. In his strongest speech to date: (via hot air)

To hear him talk now, you'd think he'd always opposed the dangerous practices at these institutions. But there is absolutely nothing in his record to suggest he did. He was surely familiar with the people who were creating this problem. The executives of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have advised him, and he has taken their money for his campaign. He has received more money from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac than any other senator in history, with the exception of the chairman of the committee overseeing them.

Did he ever talk to the executives at Fannie and Freddie about these reckless loans? Did he ever discuss with them the stronger oversight I proposed? If Senator Obama is such a champion of financial regulation, why didn't he support these regulations that could have prevented this crisis in the first place? He won't tell you, but you deserve an answer.

Oy, this would've been great a couple of weeks ago. When McCain was busy inviting Obama to fix the problem he ostensibly started but better late than never. But in this case I'm afraid late is as good as never.

If this is a preview of tomorrow's debate hold onto your hats. This is about the time in the election when George HW Bush started really pounding Dukakis on the Willie Horton crime issue.

Electoral Tie a Nightmare for Democracy

It takes 270 Electoral votes to become the next president of the United States. But if the Electoral votes come out split down the middle, 269 votes each, what would happen then?

In the event of a tie, the House of Representatives would vote for a president and the Senate would pick the vice president when Congress reconvenes in January.

Andy Sullivan of Reuters examined the possibilities. Under one scenario, if both houses of congress have not determined a winner by the time George W. Bush leaves office, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi would have to resign her seat and serve as acting President. Sullivan also mentions several other dramatic possibilities including the involvement of courts and rogue electors. Furthermore, congressional representatives may be put in a position where they have to weigh party loyalty against the will of their state.

As recently as September 19, election stats guru Nate Silver projected the odds of a tie at 3.2 percent. With Obama surging in battleground polling, the number of scenarios that would produce a tie has dwindled. Silver recently looked at scenarios by which a tie could occur.

A new wrinkle to the electoral map, Nebraska's decision to award electoral votes by congressional districts could create or break a tie in any number of scenarios. Obama has a chance at winning a single electoral vote from Omaha, where Republican's voter registration edge is much smaller than in the rest of the reliably red state.

Obama's Pals

By Caleb Howe

Oct 6th 2008 3:04PM

Filed Under: Democrats, Barack Obama, 2008 President, Sarah Palin

Democrats and their friends in the press are moose-hunting angry this morning over Sarah Palin's recent comment that Senator Obama "pals around with terrorists" which she made in reference to his being pals with domestic terrorist Bill Ayers. The big line of defense we hear against this charge is "guilt by association". Their argument is absolutely true, if the charge is terrorism. You can't call Obama guilty of terrorism merely for associating with terrorists.


Of course, it's a straw man position. He isn't being accused of any guilt which ought to be Ayers' burden. He's being accused of precisely what he is guilty of: associating with terrorists. That's not guilty by association. It's guilty OF association ... association with information, I might add, because there's no way he didn't know about Ayers. Even if he didn't know about the terrorism, a loudmouth radical like Ayers doesn't keep his loudmouth radicalism under wraps. It was on account of his leftism that he and Obama made such frequent and successful allies.


What's more, it is not an isolated argument from the right. The question is more than one of Ayers. The question is, rather, why are so many of Obama's friends such low-lifes, and why doesn't anyone care?


Take, for example, this article in the New York Post. According to their sources, here is a man with whom Obama launched a charity project, funded by 100,000 grand in pork barrel tax money he obtained via his relationship with Barack Obama. Eight years later, Kenny Smith still hasn't built the promised south Chicago botanical gardens. The Illinois Attorney General is investigating Smith, and the project that he and Obama promised to Chicago.

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'Keating Economics' - New Obama Spot

By Greg McNeilly

Oct 6th 2008 12:59PM

Filed Under: Barack Obama, Ads, 2008 President

Proving October is the month of negative attack ads, Barack Obama's less-than-hopeful campaign unleashed a 13 minute campaign web spot titled "Keating Economics."



> Read the Full Post

Sarah Palin Vs. 'Sarah Palin'


Sarah Palin

"Sarah Palin"

Tina Fey's sensational portrayal of Sarah Palin is unlike any other political impersonation ever, for one simple reason: it may very well end up defining a major political figure before that figure has defined herself.

Consider SNL's previously most celebrated impersonations. Four others leap to mind: Chevy Chase as Gerald Ford. Dana Carvey as George H.W. Bush. Will Ferrell as George W. Bush. Darrell Hammond as Al Gore.

As much as the NBC-industrial complex wants us to believe those performances affected the elections in which they appeared, I doubt it. The candidates portrayed were already firmly established in the public consciousness when they were parodied. The portrayal that stirred the most talk on the cable yakfests was Hammond's Gore. It was a revelation, highlighting Gore's condescension and his "Me, teacher! Me, teacher!" front-row ass-kissiness. Even so, there was no confusing the man and his parodist. Gore had already been Vice President for eight years.

With Tina Fey and Sarah Palin, it's different. I keep hearing people say that they're confusing Palin and Fey; that when they watched the actual debate, they kept forgetting they weren't watching Tina Fey. This isn't just a testimony to Fey's brilliant performance. It's also testimony to the McCain campaign's flawed rollout of Palin: she really was too sheltered. There's insatiable curiosity about the lady, but we're only getting dribs and drabs. TIna Fey is filling in the rest.

There are of course evident differences between the actual Sarah Palin and Tina's "Sarah Palin".

The actual Sarah Palin, while clearly unprepared for a national campaign, is consumed with ambition and may yet pull it off. She's folksy and flirtatious on the outside, steely on the inside. "Sarah Palin," on the other hand, is more daffy. She wants to rule the world, yes, but she's a little bit more of a bubblehead, easily distracted by shiny objects. She's sort of delightful.

The real Sarah Palin plows through her sentences like a Panzer through Poland, butchering innocent sentences, leaving syntactical carnage in her wake. "Sarah Palin" blithely skips from word to word with the blind faith that she'll make it to the other side of the rhetorical rapids without slipping.

The real Sarah Palin believes most of what she says. Or at least you can tell what she believes between the lines. (Her code is pretty obvious.) Meanwhile "Sarah Palin" seems more ... misguided. Somebody told her what to think and, you betcha, she's stickin' with it ... unless someone tells her to change her mind.

Perhaps the best way to understand the difference between Sarah and "Sarah" is through the lens of E!'s The Girls Next Door. The real Sarah Palin is Holly -- eyes fixed on the prize ... the prize being 82 year old Hef. (Holly, in fact, is from Alaska!) Fey's "Sarah Palin" is Bridget from The Girls Next Door. Fun is a major priority. (For those of you wondering, Kendra is a working class Democrat.)





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